Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.969203 1.130766 1.304439 1.504265 1.727070 1.967095 2.244445
2025-06-08 0.685964 0.907374 1.168003 1.493681 1.885789 2.338670 2.897051
2025-06-15 0.535668 0.793991 1.123421 1.564710 2.130000 2.819234 3.711505
2025-06-22 0.416984 0.688940 1.062537 1.595017 2.314532 3.232368 4.468642
2025-06-29 0.315477 0.581435 0.974452 1.568427 2.411227 3.530497 5.091053
2025-07-06 0.253471 0.516650 0.931911 1.592252 2.568628 3.909014 5.830742
2025-07-13 0.205400 0.462075 0.893268 1.612035 2.715105 4.274543 6.565350
2025-07-20 0.169358 0.419215 0.864600 1.639883 2.870131 4.655004 7.332998
2025-07-27 0.138633 0.378258 0.831352 1.653789 3.000827 5.002860 8.065655
2025-08-03 0.106969 0.326297 0.769219 1.610539 3.035560 5.207507 8.597523
2025-08-10 0.086492 0.292767 0.734980 1.609298 3.133823 5.507771 9.276093
2025-08-17 0.066423 0.253413 0.681968 1.567002 3.158663 5.693550 9.788417
2025-08-24 0.053756 0.229702 0.658481 1.579145 3.280378 6.042990 10.573096
2025-08-31 0.041972 0.203850 0.625781 1.570126 3.365281 6.339511 11.291874
2025-09-07 0.036829 0.196880 0.634972 1.644820 3.602889 6.892330 12.427302
2025-09-14 0.030405 0.182611 0.624004 1.676701 3.764394 7.326830 13.391934
2025-09-21 0.022890 0.159911 0.587109 1.649219 3.813373 7.575409 14.069440
2025-09-28 0.018602 0.147804 0.575289 1.674058 3.961085 7.994469 15.031514
2025-10-05 0.014973 0.136237 0.562424 1.694655 4.100948 8.404405 15.990095
2025-10-12 0.012190 0.126854 0.553794 1.723615 4.258033 8.848903 17.016969
2025-10-19 0.009637 0.116493 0.539827 1.738074 4.386335 9.246824 17.977313
2025-10-26 0.006732 0.100374 0.503340 1.693121 4.390549 9.424246 18.574686
2025-11-02 0.005052 0.090648 0.485413 1.691831 4.483521 9.762372 19.449482